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Coming To Grips With How California Foreclosures Tend To Impact All Real Estate Markets

March 9th, 2010 Sal Marino No comments

California’s economy and how California foreclosures affect it as well as the broader nationwide economy should be studied, if only to figure out the existing recession and what touched it off. This is important because anything that takes place in California eventually makes its way east, as was demonstrated when California real estate helped to touch off a collapse in real estate markets around the country.

There seem to have been two places where the current recession was able to draw its strength from; Wall Street and California. Whether or not the collapse in markets on Wall Street could have happened without the problem in California real estate markets becoming so acute is a matter for debate. Obviously, though, California was at least the warning sign that many people chose to ignore at first.

For at least several years before the financial markets suffered their deepest decline in ages back in late 2008, California had been sending out smoke signals (which were actually fires from the economic conflagration the state’s deepening budget woes was creating) that were being mostly ignored by real estate speculators, not only in California but also in Florida and Arizona among several states.

It would seem that real estate values had been declining for well over three years prior to the final 2008 descent from which home values in California and elsewhere are only now just finally starting to recover from. Make no mistake, though; this “recovery” is very minor, very fragile and very much in danger of collapsing at the slightest panic in the markets and especially in California.

In this regard, it could be said that the rate of CA foreclosures might have also helped to serve as a warning sign because there are six California cities in the top 10 in terms of foreclosure rates. And it’s true that Florida, Arizona and California together contribute 44% of foreclosures across the country these days. Both are very clear clarion calls to action that shouldn’t be ignored, economic experts maintain.

Combine all of that with the structural issues involved with formulating a solid budget for California (the famous Proposition 13 limits on property tax rate increases is thought by some economists to play a large role) and it’s easy to see how something like CA foreclosures can affect much of the rest of the country. For one, they tend to scare investors off elsewhere.

The reason this is so is because investors in the broader markets as well as the housing market are very jumpy at present and aren’t entirely sure that the country has reached bottom, at least in terms of home prices. They are reluctant to jump back into housing markets without at least an even chance of making back what they’ve put into it over the long run. This tends to depress markets, truth be told.

It can then be said, with a great deal of certainty, that what goes on with the rate of CA foreclosures affects not only California’s economy but the nationwide economy to some extent. When foreclosure rates out in the Golden State finally begin to decline appreciably and steadily it might be that investors across the country will feel better about getting back into the markets in a big way.

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Coming Up With Ways To Prevent California Foreclosures From Increasing Drastically

March 6th, 2010 Sal Marino No comments

Looking at efforts to keep California foreclosures under control and from increasing greatly in California will mean first of all looking at how these foreclosures began to increase over the last two or three years. Naturally, much of it can be chalked up to the penchant for speculation along with certain structural defects in California’s real estate markets as well.

To begin with, it’s pretty much been an accepted fact that California real estate is always pricier than the real estate in most other parts of the country with several notable exceptions (Honolulu, Hawaii and certain parts of New York City and Boston, Massachusetts market to name a few). Whether this high prices were really sustainable forever, is now being shown to be a falsehood.

Sadly, large numbers of real estate owners and investors bought into that myth, despite plenty of warnings that every economic boom is inevitably followed by a downturn or a bust. The current downturn, after it finally showed, was noticeably acute and more vigorous than it might have been had so much not taken so long to build up. When the top blew off, in other words, it blew off strongly.

California also had a few structural defects in its real estate market that made it attractive in one way but that same attractiveness also was thought to be a detriment to the state and its ability to generate revenues in several other ways. In 1978, the people of the state pushed through a change to the California Constitution that limited property tax increases to certain predefined levels.

For anybody who was out looking at property in California, it’s certainly the case that Proposition 13 tended to make Golden State real estate look attractive because of its damper on property tax raises. With taxes relatively reasonable, at least for California, a large number of buyers jumped into the markets over the decades. When the recession hit, though, the markets were bound to be affected more intensely than might usually have been the case.

Now, the state is being forced to deal with a rate of CA foreclosures that it might not otherwise have had to deal with if all things were equal. In 2009, California enacted an amendment to the California Civil Code known as the “California Foreclosure Prevention Act.” It’s basically an attempt to slow the building rate of residential foreclosures through a series of measures.

What the act does is impose an additional 90 day waiting period to the standard foreclosure time line. It requires that lenders wait the extra three months before they impose a notice of default and before they can move to publish the notice of trustee sale that normally occurs out in California. Of course, there are certain criteria homeowners must meet before qualifying, but many currently are, fortunately.

The rate of CA foreclosures, while already marked, show some signs of either improving (meaning, decreasing) or drastically increasing, depending on which way one looks at the issue. At present, the Golden State is more interested in slapping a huge battle dressing on the problem so that it can stabilize the rate. Here’s to hoping it’s successful.

Understanding efforts to prevent CA foreclosures from increasing drastically means, understanding how the foreclosure rate out in California increased so dramatically over the last few of years. We’ve got the ultimate inside scoop on ca foreclosure properties.

Making Way Through The Fog Of California Foreclosures Whenever One Can

February 25th, 2010 Sal Marino No comments

Making the best of California foreclosures out in the Golden State will mean looking for good news anywhere it can be found, at present. It will also be necessary for anybody considering staying in or investing in California property to think about what they’ll pull out of it in the future. However, even a down market presents opportunities for investors if they have the guts and the smarts to stick it out.

The common — and somewhat pejorative — term for investing in markets that are laid low by something like the rate of CA foreclosures is “vulture investing.” This is a slightly unfair term to give to an act that actually helps keep economic activity going at at least minimal levels. For sure, there are many banks and owners of property hoping that a flock of vulture investors will take their properties off their hands.

The reason banks and lenders are hoping these investors get into the market out in California is that the Golden State’s real estate markets have been going through a decline over the last few years. They’ve been doing so because of the number of factors, including that rampant buying and selling and defects in property tax revenues have hurt the markets hard since the recession kicked off.

It’s now a fact, especially in states like California and Florida, that the kinds of homes ending up in the foreclosed inventory are much higher in quality, overall, than in the past, when many such homes were fairly old and beat up and in need of expensive rehabilitation. Leaving aside the story the personal story behind each of these foreclosures, and investor could do worse than to look at this kind of market.

Any investor who hopes to examine CA foreclosures and then decide to invest in them would be smart to look at real estate-owned or REO properties. These properties end up held by lenders who called in the mortgages that were given to them by the owners of these properties but who found themselves unable to keep up with the payments, generally speaking.

Any investor hoping to get into the California real estate market — when it comes to these sorts of CA foreclosures — is going to have to make sure that he or she (or their advisers) understands the particular market in California very well. This is because the theory is that one will purchase an REO property at a low price and try to get the maximum market price for it, whenever that happens to be.

As an example, consider that certain homes out in California’s Riverside and San Bernardino regions could be selling for less than half of what they once did. If there’s a property owner or bank or lender willing to sell for $. 50 or less on the dollar, it might be that the market has stabilized such that at least a 10% return on investment can be gained within a short period of time.

This may not have made a great deal of sense (going for a relatively low return on investment) at one time, but there are so many properties now on the market in such good condition that turnaround costs will probably be extremely low. This can help make investment in CA foreclosures much more successful than normally might be a case. As it turns out, there are actually helpful benefits to this kind of investing.

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